So here’s a look at rates for the last week. These are off the rate sheet for Amtrust Mortgage.
The reality of rates is that they don’t move. The price on rates move. So for this I looked at two rates 4.5% and 4.75% to show how the price on those rates has moved throughout the last week.
Since rates are priced upon a percentage of the loan amount I’ve normalized these to the price per $100,000 of loan amount.
What does that mean? Today 4.5% was priced at .062% – discount. On $100,000 the cost (discount) to get 4.5% would be $62.00.
Sometimes rates are priced so that there is a credit called a yield spread premium. I’ve always credited that to the borrower hence the name of my site, yield spread credit. Every mortgage broker has to do that now, so I guess I was ahead of my time. Fat lotta good that does me.
So some days instead of a “cost” the rate actually paid a premium as was the case for 4.75% every day of the week, and on five occasions for 4.5%.
- Today:
- 4.5% costs $62./ 4.75% pays $1316
- Thursday:
- 4.5% cost $466/ 4.75% paid $862
- 4.5% cost $300/ 4.75% paid $993
- 4.5% paid $10/ 4.75% paid $1,229
- Wednesday:
- 4.5% paid $262/ 4.75% paid $1,415
- 4.5% paid $53/ 4.75% paid $1,257
- Tuesday:
- 4.5% paid $52/ 4.75% paid $1,324
- Monday:
- 4.5% paid $25/ 4.75% paid $1,314
What I find interesting about these is that while the market moves on a regular basis we, as brokers, only really see a few market changes. Those changes are typically day-to-day as was the case Monday, Tuesday, and Friday. Occasionally, there’s inter-day changes, as was the case on Wednesday and Thursday.
There just isn’t a lot of volatility at the street level. At the market level massive negative movement will typically translate into one big negative inter-day at the consumer level. Often that move purposely overshoots the mark, as as the mortgage banks avoid taking any but the most profitable locks.
Big movements to the plus side seem to come at a slower pace than negative movements.
This week there really hasn’t been a lot of movement. The price for 4.75% has been between $862 to $1,415. That’s a range of .625%, which seems like a lot, but when we start seeing 1% changes that’s usually a sign that the market has moved enough that people in the news will start talking about rates “moving”. It may look like they are, but all the movement amounts to is that the most attractive price gets attached to a different rate-point (Since mortgage rates are priced in .125% increments, each increment can be called a rate-point) .